Volume 12, Letter 5 Coronavirus Update 53
January 17th, 2022
How things change dramatically in 2 weeks again!
All vaccines are no longer working well to prevent transmission of SARS2 variant Omicron. The good news remains that the vaccines prevent bad outcomes which should be the message to all. Please get vaccinated if you have no prior Covid immunity and/or have natural disease but also have major risk factors. Omicron is 91% less risky then Delta. However, 9% comparative residual risk in over a 100 million unvaccinated is still a large number of seriously sick people.
North Carolina is in a huge wave now as with the rest of the country. I have not seen or heard of any hospitals being overwhelmed here but that is happening in many parts of the country now. North Carolina has between 60 and 90% of Covid beds filled according to the hospital reports.
There is a dramatic increase in the 7 day moving average of cases for the US in recent weeks owing to Omicron's incredible activity. We hit over 800,000 cases in a day. It is outcompeting Delta based on the data with 95+% of cases being Omicron. The 7 day moving average for deaths has gone up this past week.
If you have had 2 doses of an mRNA vaccine or had previous natural infection, you have a very very small risk of a significant hospitalization and therefore death from the Delta or Omicron variant based on statistics overall, however, you are likely to get some illness from Omicron now as it has escaped the two dose series protection and boosters as well.
As it stands today, the United States has had 65 million known cases and almost 850,000 deaths.
As with the first newsletter on this topic, keep solace with the fact that there is a 99+% chance of survival for all of us regardless of vaccination. However,
mathematically, you now have a 99.9998% chance of survival once vaccinated and the vaccine safety for the mRNA vaccines continues to look good.
Why take on that extra risk?
Do you think that we should recommend mandatory vaccinations?
75% say No
Are you comfortable with the messaging from the CDC?
79 % say No
These results are far beyond political ideology. This speaks to the dysfunction of the government's role in the pandemic through non effective messaging and lack of transparent truth.
For anyone interested in the whiteboard of poor viral killing capacity see Section III
Directly to the left is a graphic from Andrew Brackins MSIII related to recent podcasts.